Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 30, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Allianz Stadium

Germany Women
1 - 2
Colombia Women

Popp (89' pen.)
Oberdorf (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lizeth Caicedo Alegria (52'), Vanegas Catano (90+7')
Bedoya Durango (62'), Carolina Ospina Garcia (79'), Perez Jaramillo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's World Cup clash between Germany Women and Colombia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Germany Women 6-0 Morocco Women
Monday, July 24 at 9.30am in Women's World Cup

Colombia Women

All competitions
Last Game: Colombia Women 2-0 S. Korea Women
Tuesday, July 25 at 3am in Women's World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 91.05%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Colombia Women had a probability of 2.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.49%) and 2-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.12%), while for a Colombia Women win it was 0-1 (0.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Germany WomenDrawColombia Women
91.05% (0.066000000000003 0.07)6.57% (-0.045 -0.04)2.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
Both teams to score 38.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.77% (0.11499999999999 0.11)23.23% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.43% (0.15199999999999 0.15)42.57% (-0.152 -0.15)
Germany Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.09% (0.025000000000006 0.03)2.9% (-0.0259 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.81% (0.088999999999999 0.09)13.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
Colombia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.43% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)60.57% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.06% (-0.021899999999999 -0.02)90.94% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Germany Women 91.03%
    Colombia Women 2.38%
    Draw 6.57%
Germany WomenDrawColombia Women
3-0 @ 12.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 11.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
5-0 @ 8.14% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
6-0 @ 4.8% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 4.08% (0.011 0.01)
7-0 @ 2.43% (0.022 0.02)
6-1 @ 2.41% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
7-1 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
8-0 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 91.03%
1-1 @ 3.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 6.57%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 2.38%

How you voted: Germany Women vs Colombia Women

Germany Women
91.7%
Draw
2.8%
Colombia Women
5.6%
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