China national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Aug 1, 2023 at 12pm UK
Coopers Stadium
England national football team

China PR Women
1 - 6
England Women

Wang (57' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-3)
Russo (4'), Hemp (26'), James (41', 65'), Kelly (77'), Daly (84')
Bronze (56')

The Match

Match Report

England cruise into the knockout stages of the Women's World Cup as Group D winners thanks to a 6-1 win over China.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's World Cup clash between China PR Women and England Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China PR Women

All competitions
Last Game: China PR Women 1-0 Haiti Women
Friday, July 28 at 12pm in Women's World Cup

England Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: England Women 1-0 Denmark Women
Friday, July 28 at 9.30am in Women's World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for China PR Women had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest China PR Women win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Women would win this match.

Result
China PR WomenDrawEngland Women
29.12% (-0.333 -0.33)23.08% (0.012 0.01)47.8% (0.319 0.32)
Both teams to score 61.8% (-0.276 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (-0.268 -0.27)39.16% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (-0.28299999999999 -0.28)61.49% (0.279 0.28)
China PR Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.35000000000001 -0.35)25.82% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.474 -0.47)60.78% (0.472 0.47)
England Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (0.030999999999999 0.03)46.56% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    China PR Women 29.12%
    England Women 47.8%
    Draw 23.07%
China PR WomenDrawEngland Women
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.83% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 29.12%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 9.35% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.91% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.58% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.5% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 47.8%

How you voted: China PR Women vs England Women

China PR Women
17.9%
Draw
14.1%
England Women
67.9%
78