England national football team
Women's World Cup | Round of 16
Aug 7, 2023 at 8.30am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Nigeria national football team

England Women
0 - 0
Nigeria Women

FT
(aet)
England Women win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

A 10-woman England side beat a spirited Nigeria team on penalties to advance to the quarter-finals of the Women's World Cup following a 0-0 draw in Brisbane.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Women's World Cup clash between England Women and Nigeria Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

England Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: China PR Women 1-6 England Women
Tuesday, August 1 at 12pm in Women's World Cup

Nigeria Women

All competitions
Last Game: Ireland Women 0-0 Nigeria Women
Monday, July 31 at 11am in Women's World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 77.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Nigeria Women had a probability of 7.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.99%) and 3-0 (11.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Nigeria Women win it was 0-1 (3.12%).

Result
England WomenDrawNigeria Women
77.22% (0.044999999999987 0.04)15.57% (-0.023 -0.02)7.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 38.62% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (0.026000000000003 0.03)44.95% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (0.024999999999999 0.02)67.31% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
England Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02)9.77% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.51% (0.041000000000011 0.04)32.49% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Nigeria Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.8% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)57.2% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.85% (-0.022 -0.02)89.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    England Women 77.2%
    Nigeria Women 7.21%
    Draw 15.57%
England WomenDrawNigeria Women
2-0 @ 15.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 11.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.82% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55%
4-1 @ 3.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 3.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 77.2%
1-1 @ 7.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 15.57%
0-1 @ 3.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 7.21%

How you voted: 1st Group D vs 2nd Group B

1st Group D
71.1%
Draw
14.5%
2nd Group B
14.5%
76