Apr 26, 2025 12.15pm

5

2

HT : 2 1

FT The Oval

Louis Lloyd 23'
Danny Gosset 43'
Louis Lloyd 45'+1'
Adam Davies 46'
Danny Gosset 49'
Louis Lloyd 58'
Louis Lloyd 73'
78'

Eliot Richards 6'
Owen James Cuddihy 57'
Ieuan Gwyn Owen 64'
Robbie Willmott 80'
Eliot Richards 83'
Eliot Richards 84'
Kayne McLaggon 86'

Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
L
D
W
L
L

Welsh Premier League

W
L
D
W
L
L

Last game

Apr 19, 2025 12.45pm

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Cardiff MU

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Louis Lloyd

Barry Town United

All competitions

W
W
W
L
W
W

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
L
W
W

Last game

Apr 19, 2025 12.45pm

Barry 5 - 0 Briton Ferry

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Ollie Hulbert

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result

Caernarfon Town 44%

Draw 23.1%

Barry Town United 32.89%

Both Teams to Score:

63.83%

Goals

Over 2.5 62.62%

Under 2.5 37.38%

Over 3.5 40.4%

Under 3.5 59.59%

Over 4.5 22.47%

Under 4.5 77.53%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 82.55%

Under 0.5 17.45%

Over 1.5 52.08%

Under 1.5 47.92%

Barry Town United Goals

Over 0.5 77.32%

Under 0.5 22.67%

Over 1.5 43.68%

Under 1.5 56.32%

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 44%

Draw 23.1%

Barry Town United 32.89%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 8.95%

1-0 @ 6.91%

2-0 @ 6.03%

3-1 @ 5.21%

3-2 @ 3.86%

3-0 @ 3.51%

4-1 @ 2.27%

4-2 @ 1.69%

4-0 @ 1.53%

Other @ 4.05%

Total : 44%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.25%

2-2 @ 6.64%

0-0 @ 3.96%

3-3 @ 1.91%

Other @ 0.34%

Total : 23.1%

Barry Town United

1-2 @ 7.61%

0-1 @ 5.87%

0-2 @ 4.36%

1-3 @ 3.76%

2-3 @ 3.28%

0-3 @ 2.16%

1-4 @ 1.4%

2-4 @ 1.22%

Other @ 3.24%

Total : 32.89%

Head to Head

Dec 14, 2024 2.30pm

3

2

HT : 2 1

FT The Oval

Louis Lloyd 35'
Louis Lloyd 44'
Zack Clarke 49'
Louis Lloyd 49'
Matthew Jones 82'

Ryan Kavanagh 14'
Mike George 25'
Sam Snaith 33'
Josh Yorwerth 34'
Luc Rees 42'
Callum Sainty 43'
Ben Margetson 51'

Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Jenner Park

Sam Snaith 10'
Mike George 79'

Louis Lloyd 9'

Nov 19, 2023 2.30pm

2

3

HT : 2 1

FT The Oval

Louis Lloyd 12'
Adam Davies 32'
Phil Mooney 33'
Phil Mooney 38'
Danny Gosset 44'
Ben Maher 79'

Harrison Bright 26'
Jordan Cotterill 44'
Jordan Cotterill 56'
Ben Blythe 63'
Callum Sainty 69'
Ollie Hulbert 90'+6'
Kayne McLaggon 90'+6'

Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm

0

3

HT : 0 2

FT Jenner Park

Evan Press 76'
Jordan Cotterill 90'+4'
Jordan Cotterill 90'+4'

Zack Clarke 27'
Marc Richard Williams 41'
Adam Davies 71'

Apr 9, 2022 5.15pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Jonathan Hood 17'
Kayne McLaggon 45'+1'
Rhys Kavanagh 61'

Neal Eardley 31'
Callum Morris 43'
George Horan 45'
45'+2'
Byron Harrison 62'
Kris Owens 65'

Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT

Jordan Cotterill 36'
Clayton Green 69'

Mike Hayes 4'
Danny Gosset 12'
Mike Hayes 58'

Form Data

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Cardiff MU

Pen-y-Bont 3 - 1 Caernarfon

Haverfordwest 1 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 5 - 0 Bala Town

New Saints 2 - 0 Caernarfon

Cardiff MU 4 - 2 Caernarfon

Barry 5 - 0 Briton Ferry

Connah's Quay 0 - 2 Barry

Barry 2 - 1 Newtown

Flint Town 3 - 2 Barry

Barry 2 - 1 Aberystwyth

Briton Ferry 3 - 4 Barry