Caernarfon
5 - 2
Barry

Lloyd (23', 45+1', 58' pen., 73'), Davies (46')
Gosset (43'), Gosset (49'), (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Richards (6'), McLaggon (86')
James Cuddihy (57'), Gwyn Owen (64'), Willmott (80'), Richards (83'), Richards (84')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, April 19 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Barry Town United

All competitions

Last Game: Barry 5-0 Briton Ferry
Saturday, April 19 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Barry Town United
44%	23.1%	32.89%

Both teams to score 63.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.62%

37.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.4%

59.59%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55%

17.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.08%

47.92%

Barry Town United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32%

22.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.68%

56.32%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 44%

Barry Town United 32.89%

Draw 23.1%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Barry Town United
2-1 @ 8.95% 1-0 @ 6.91% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-2 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-2 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 4.05% Total : 44%	1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.1%	1-2 @ 7.61% 0-1 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.89%