Copa do Brasil
Sep 3, 2026 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Cacá 51' yellowcard
  • Luan Cândido 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard José Luis Rodríguez 78'
  • goal Andrés Gómez 81'
  • goal José Luis Rodríguez 90'+7'

Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 1.30am
Vasco 1 - 0 Vitoria

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 1.30am
Vasco 1 - 0 Vitoria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria 35.42% ▲ (+0.28)
Draw 25.83% ▲ (+0.22)
Vasco da Gama 38.75% ▼ (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.85% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.61% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 26.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 49.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 27.19%
Under 3.5 72.81%
Over 4.5 14.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.17% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 24.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 48.06% ▼ (-0.20)
Vasco da Gama 27% ▲ (+0.22)

Team To Score First

Vitoria 49.55% ▼ (-0.31)
No Goal 7.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Vasco da Gama 43.12% ▲ (+0.27)

Corners

Over 8 56.32% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 32.42% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 9 45% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 43.68% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 34.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 65.5% ▲ (+0.02)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 35.42% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 64.58% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 2.5 13.21% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 86.79% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 4.23% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 95.77% ▼ (-0.10)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 71.11% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 28.89% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 37.46% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 62.54% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 15.24% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 84.76% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 4.83% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 95.17% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Vitoria 35.42%
Draw 25.82%
Vasco da Gama 38.74%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 35.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.82%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 38.74%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Aug 27, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Cauan Barros 18' redcard
  • Andrés Gómez 59' goal
  • yellowcard Caíque Gonçalves 38'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Brítez 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 16, 2026 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Renato Kayzer 69' goal
Brasileiro
Oct 5, 2025 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 10, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Matheuzinho 33' redcard
  • Janderson 38' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 60' goal
  • Renato Kayzer 90' goal
  • yellowcard Paulinho 12'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 42'
  • yellowcard Loide Augusto 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piton 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Sep 1, 2024 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Neris 74' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 84' yellowcard
  • Everaldo 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Victor 72'
  • yellowcard Willean Bernardo Willemen 85'
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Everaldo 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 12, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Maicon 28' yellowcard
  • Maicon 51' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 56' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 57' yellowcard
  • Bruno Praxedes 84' yellowcard
  • David 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Bruno Praxedes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 57'
  • yellowcard Iury Castilho 59'
  • yellowcard David 66'
  • goal Iury Castilho 89'
  • redcard Camutanga 90'+3'