Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2

May 31, 2025 at 7pm UK

Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
0 - 1
Danubio

Colombino (34'), Pinheiro Goggia (78'), Trasante (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanseviero (74')
Arguello (31'), Peralta (82'), Rabino (90+1')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Progreso
Saturday, May 24 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Danubio

All competitions

Last Game: Danubio 2-0 Miramar Misiones
Sunday, May 25 at 3pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Danubio in this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Danubio
23.51%	27.2%	49.28% ( -0)

Both teams to score 44.18% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.04% (

-0)

59.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.8% (

-0)

80.2% (

-0)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.51% (

-0)

41.48% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.01% (

-0)

77.98% (

-0)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.51% (

-0)

24.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.05% (

-0)

58.94%

Score Analysis

Progreso 23.51%

Danubio 49.27%

Draw 27.19%

Progreso	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 1.15% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.19% Total : 23.51%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 14.29% 0-2 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-3 @ 4.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 49.27%