Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
15
-
Alejandro Garcia
73'
-
Adrian Colombino
74'
-
Emanuel Mas
76'
-
Hernan Carroso Pais
78'
-
Ayrton Cougo
81'
-
Ayrton Cougo
90'+4'
-
Nicolas Olivera
90'+6'
-
Rodrigo Chagas
25'
-
Federico Barrandeguy
57'
-
Agustin Rodriguez
64'
Progreso vs Juventud - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventud win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventud win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventud would win this match.
Result
Progreso
31.61%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
26.5%
▲
(+0.28)
Juventud
41.89%
▼
(-0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
51.61%
▼
(-0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.92%
▼
(-1.16)
Under 2.5
53.08%
▲
(+1.16)
Over 3.5
25.33%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 3.5
74.66%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 4.5
11.57%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 4.5
88.43%
▲
(+0.64)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5
68.85%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 0.5
31.15%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 1.5
32.52%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 1.5
67.48%
▲
(+0.78)
Juventud Goals
Over 0.5
74.95%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 0.5
25.05%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 1.5
40.28%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 1.5
59.72%
▲
(+0.85)
Score analysis
Progreso
31.61%
Draw
26.49%
Juventud
41.89%
Progreso
1-0
@
9.1%
▲
(+0.25)
2-1 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.61%
2-1 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.61%
Draw
1-1
@
12.59%
▲
(+0.12)
0-0 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.35)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.49%
0-0 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.35)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.49%
Juventud
0-1
@
10.8%
▲
(+0.32)
1-2 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.89%
1-2 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.89%