Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uruguay win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw has a probability of 24.2% and a win for Venezuela has a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Venezuela win it is 0-1 (6.77%).