Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2024 at 1pm UK

Stade de la Reunification

Uganda
0 - 2
South Africa

Lwanga (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morena (49'), Maswanganyi (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Uganda and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: South Sudan 1-2 Uganda
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

South Africa

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Congo 1-1 South Africa
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.58%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Uganda win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
Uganda	Draw	South Africa
28.24% ( 0.08)	27.84% ( 0.04)	43.92% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 46.1% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.65% (

-0.1)

59.35% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.26% (

-0.08)

79.74% (

0.08)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.03% (

0.01)

36.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.24% (

0.01)

73.76% (

-0.01)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14% (

-0.11)

26.86% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.83% (

-0.15)

62.17% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Uganda 28.24%

South Africa 43.91%

Draw 27.83%

Uganda	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 28.24%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 43.91%