Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 12, 2026 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir)
  • Arda Güler 20' goal
  • Ozan Kabak 32' yellowcard
  • İsmail Yüksek 50' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 27'
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 30'

Turkey vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Turkey 0 - 1 France

Belgium

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Italy 0 - 2 Belgium

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Turkey win was 2-1 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Turkey 37.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 22.89%
Belgium 39.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.18%
Under 1.5 17.82%
Over 2.5 62.23%
Under 2.5 37.77%
Over 3.5 40.01%
Under 3.5 59.99%
Over 4.5 24.95%
Under 4.5 75.05%

First Half Winner

Turkey 26.85%
Draw 36.64%
Belgium 36.51%

Team To Score First

Turkey 40.29%
No Goal 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Belgium 55.23% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.55%
Equal 8 10.24%
Under 8 24.21%
Over 9 54.48%
Equal 9 11.07%
Under 9 34.45%
Over 10.5 43.48%
Under 10.5 56.52%

Turkey Goals

Over 1.5 42.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 57.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 20.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 79.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.73% ▲ (+0.02)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 74.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 45.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Turkey 37.19%
Draw 22.89%
Belgium 39.93%
Turkey
2-1 @ 7.97%
1-0 @ 6.45%
2-0 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 37.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.89%
Belgium
1-2 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.33%
2-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 39.93%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Maurice Dufrasne
  • Kevin De Bruyne 10' goal
  • Dodi Lukébakio 26' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 30' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 59' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 76' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 80' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ngoy 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdülkerim Bardakcı  56'
  • yellowcard Merih Demiral 71'
  • yellowcard Arda Güler 90'+2'