Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 7.45pm

Turkey vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions

Italy

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Turkey has a probability of 38.34% and a draw has a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Turkey win is 2-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.94%).

Result

Turkey 38.34%
Draw 22.72%
Italy 38.94%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.21%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.77%
Under 1.5 18.23%
Over 2.5 61.63%
Under 2.5 38.37%
Over 3.5 38.9%
Under 3.5 61.1%
Over 4.5 24.06%
Under 4.5 75.94%

First Half Winner

Turkey 30.53%
Draw 39.68%
Italy 29.79%

Team To Score First

Turkey 50.08%
No Goal 4.54%
Italy 45.38%

Corners

Over 8 62.06%
Equal 8 10.09%
Under 8 27.85%
Over 9 51.43%
Equal 9 10.62%
Under 9 37.94%
Over 10.5 41.09%
Under 10.5 58.91%

Turkey Goals

Over 1.5 43.77%
Under 1.5 56.23%
Over 2.5 21.01%
Under 2.5 78.99%
Over 3.5 8.23%
Under 3.5 91.77%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5 73.18%
Under 0.5 26.82%
Over 1.5 43.32%
Under 1.5 56.68%
Over 2.5 20.21%
Under 2.5 79.79%
Over 3.5 7.42%
Under 3.5 92.58%

Score analysis

Turkey 38.36%
Draw 22.72%
Italy 38.93%
Turkey
2-1 @ 8.21%
1-0 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 4.8%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 3.18%
Other @ 7.88%
Total : 38.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.54%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.72%
Italy
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-1 @ 7.27%
0-2 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 4.27%
2-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 3.18%
Other @ 7.07%
Total : 38.93%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Riccardo Orsolini 30' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 90'+1' yellowcard
International Friendlies
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Cengiz Under 4' goal
  • Serdar Dursun 83' goal
  • Mert Muldur 86' yellowcard
  • goal Bryan Cristante 35'
  • goal Giacomo Raspadori 39'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 45'+1'
  • goal Giacomo Raspadori 70'
European Championship
Jun 11, 2021 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Caglar Soyuncu 88' yellowcard
  • Halil Dervisoglu 90' yellowcard
  • goal Merih Demiral 53' (OG)
  • goal Ciro Immobile 66'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 79'