International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2026 8.00pm
Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis

Greece vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 4, 2026 6.00pm
Sweden 2 - 2 Greece

Italy

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 3, 2026 7.45pm
Luxembourg 0 - 1 Italy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Greece has a probability of 32.56% and a draw has a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Greece win is 2-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.15%).

Result

Greece 32.56% (-0.16)
Draw 25.05% (-0.25)
Italy 42.35% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.27% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.64% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 21.36% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 56.33% (+0.76)
Under 2.5 43.67% (-0.76)
Over 3.5 34.43% (+0.78)
Under 3.5 65.57% (-0.78)
Over 4.5 20.36% (+0.76)
Under 4.5 79.64% (-0.77)

First Half Winner

Greece 28.94% (+0.87)
Draw 41.04% (-0.62)
Italy 30.02% (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Greece 45.63% (+1.04)
No Goal 5.83% (-0.05)
Italy 48.54% (-1.00)

Corners

Over 8 53.39% (+1.36)
Equal 8 11.71% (+0.13)
Under 8 34.9% (-1.49)
Over 9 41.86% (+1.12)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.23)
Under 9 46.61% (-1.36)
Over 10.5 31.42% (+0.83)
Under 10.5 68.58% (-0.83)

Greece Goals

Over 1.5 36.73% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 63.27% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.09% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 84.91% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 4.97% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 95.03% (-0.18)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5 75.63% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 24.37% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 44.84% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 55.16% (-0.67)
Over 2.5 20.59% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 79.41% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 8.03% (+0.53)
Under 3.5 91.97% (-0.54)

Score analysis

Greece 32.57%
Draw 25.05%
Italy 42.35%
Greece
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.08% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.84% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.68% (+0.13)
Total : 32.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.29)
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.05)
Total : 25.05%
Italy
1-2 @ 8.76% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 6.51% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.4% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.35% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.74% (+0.49)
Total : 42.35%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 12, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jorginho 63' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 78' goal
  • yellowcard Pantelis Hatzidiakos 14'
  • yellowcard Efthymios Koulouris 27'
  • yellowcard Andreas Bouchalakis 62'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 8, 2019 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Andreas Samaris 18' yellowcard
  • Georgios Masouras 45' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolo Barella 23'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 30'
  • goal Leonardo Bonucci 33'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 43'