International Friendlies
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-
Pio Esposito
18'
-
Luca Lipani
38'
-
Honest Ahanor
44'
-
Luca Reggiani
68'
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Costantino Favasuli
82'
Greece vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Greece had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Greece win was 2-1 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result
Greece
32.42%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
24.99%
▼
(-0.07)
Italy
42.59%
▲
(+0.25)
Both Teams to Score:
58.2%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
21.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
56.45%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
43.55%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
34.43%
Under 3.5
65.57%
Over 4.5
20.43%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
79.57%
▼
(-0.08)
First Half Winner
Greece
29.1%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
40.97%
▼
(-0.08)
Italy
29.93%
▼
(-0.09)
Team To Score First
Greece
45.61%
▼
(-0.03)
No Goal
5.88%
▲
(+0.05)
Italy
48.51%
▼
(-0.04)
Corners
Over 8
52.85%
▼
(-0.54)
Equal 8
11.69%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 8
35.46%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 9
41.4%
▼
(-0.47)
Equal 9
11.46%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 9
47.15%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 10.5
31.06%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 10.5
68.94%
▲
(+0.36)
Greece Goals
Over 1.5
36.61%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
63.39%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 2.5
15.01%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
84.99%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
4.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
95.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5
75.71%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
24.29%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
45.08%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
54.92%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 2.5
20.77%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
79.23%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 3.5
8.09%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
91.91%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Greece
32.41%
Draw
24.99%
Italy
42.58%
Greece
2-1
@
7.67%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.11%
Other @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 32.41%
1-0 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.11%
Other @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 32.41%
Draw
1-1
@
11.09%
▼
(-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 24.99%
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 24.99%
Italy
1-2
@
8.81%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 42.58%
0-1 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 42.58%