Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Greece has a probability of 32.56% and a draw has a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Greece win is 2-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.15%).