MLS Playoffs
May 15, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT BMO Field
  • Federico Bernardeschi 19' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 19' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Denkey 18'
  • goal Kevin Denkey 18'
  • yellowcard Gilberto Flores 24'
  • yellowcard Gilberto Flores 24'
  • yellowcard Evander 32'
  • yellowcard Evander 32'
  • yellowcard Lukas Engel 90'
  • yellowcard Lukas Engel 90'

Toronto vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 37.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result

Toronto 37.6% (-0.05)
Draw 24.68% (+0.02)
FC Cincinnati 37.71% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.92% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.83% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 44.17% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 33.45% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.54% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 17.12% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 82.87% (+0.06)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 76.73% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 23.27% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 42.8% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 57.19% (+0.09)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 76.79% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 23.21% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 42.89% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.11% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Toronto 37.6%
Draw 24.68%
FC Cincinnati 37.71%
Toronto
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.87% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.74% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 37.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.68%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 8.4% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.89% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.76% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.81% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 37.71%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Evander 66' yellowcard
  • Evander 66' yellowcard
  • Kevin Denkey 73' goal
  • Kevin Denkey 73' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 87' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 87' goal
  • Alvas Powell 89' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 50'
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 50'
Major League Soccer
May 26, 2024 12.30am
3
4
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
  • Deybi Flores 25' goal
  • Deybi Flores 25' goal
  • Deybi Flores 33' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 33' yellowcard
  • Matty Longstaff 60' yellowcard
  • Matty Longstaff 60' yellowcard
  • Ian Murphy 63' goal
  • Ian Murphy 63' goal
  • Kevin Long 78' yellowcard
  • Kevin Long 78' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 83' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 85' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 85' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Orellano 53'
  • goal Luca Orellano 53'
  • goal Kevin Kelsy 55'
  • goal Kevin Kelsy 55'
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 60'
  • yellowcard Luca Orellano 60'
  • goal Luca Orellano 79'
  • goal Luca Orellano 79'
  • yellowcard Miles Robinson 83'
  • goal Sergio Santos 90'+3'
  • goal Sergio Santos 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Insigne 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 90'+10'
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Yuya Kubo 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 2'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 34'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 54'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 82'
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
2
3
HT : 4 4
FT BMO Field
  • Jonathan Osorio 39' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 39' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 44' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 44' goal
  • Themi Antonoglou 74' yellowcard
  • Themi Antonoglou 74' yellowcard
  • Prince Osei Owusu 84' yellowcard
  • Prince Osei Owusu 86' yellowcard
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 28'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 28'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 35'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 35'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 72'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 72'
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Santiago Arias 35' goal
  • Santiago Arias 35' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 54' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 54' goal
  • Dominique Badji 63' goal
  • Dominique Badji 63' goal
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2022 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Calvin Harris 2' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 57' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 59' yellowcard
  • Tyler Blackett 75' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Barreal 88' yellowcard
  • redcard Ralph Priso-Mbongue 6'
  • yellowcard Jayden Nelson 12'