Major League Soccer

Apr 26, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

TQL Stadium

Cincinnati
2 - 1
Kansas

Denkey (43', 78')
Anunga (17'), Denkey (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bassong (89')
Joveljic (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between FC Cincinnati and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 3-5 Kansas
Sunday, April 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
60.76% ( -0.6)	21.02% ( 0.21)	18.22% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 55.11% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.31% (

-0.33)

41.68% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.91% (

-0.33)

64.09% (

0.33)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.72% (

-0.28)

13.27% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.92% (

-0.57)

40.08% (

0.57)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.54% (

0.24)

36.45% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.76% (

0.24)

73.24% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 60.76%

Sporting Kansas City 18.22%

Draw 21.02%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.76%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.02%	1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 18.22%