Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Brian Anunga 17' yellowcard
  • Kevin Denkey 43' goal
  • Kevin Denkey 78' goal
  • Kevin Denkey 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dejan Joveljic 65'
  • goal Zorhan Bassong 89'

FC Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 1.30am
Chicago Fire 2 - 3 Cincinnati
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Kevin Denkey

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 20, 2025 3.30am
Earthquakes 3 - 5 Kansas
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Dejan Joveljic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result

FC Cincinnati 60.76% (-0.61)
Draw 21.02% (+0.22)
Sporting Kansas City 18.22% (+0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.11% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.31% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 41.68% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 35.91% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 64.09% (+0.34)
Over 4.5 18.95% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 81.05% (+0.26)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 86.72% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 13.27% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 59.92% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 40.08% (+0.57)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5 63.54% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 36.45% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 26.76% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 73.24% (-0.25)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 60.76%
Draw 21.02%
Sporting Kansas City 18.22%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.96% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.87% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 9.77% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 6.64% (-0.12)
4-1 @ 3.38% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.35% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 60.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.02% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.84% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.02%
Sporting Kansas City
1-2 @ 4.98% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 4.88% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.46% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.67% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 18.22%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 22
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • goal Roger Espinoza 57'
  • yellowcard Roberto Puncec 60'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 29
Jul 12, 2020 1.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 7
Apr 7, 2019 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Nippert Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
  • Darren Mattocks 19' goal
  • Greg Garza 78' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Bertone 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andreu Fontas 18'
  • yellowcard Yohan Croizet 35'
  • yellowcard Gedion Zelalem 38'
  • goal Gianluca Busio 62'
  • yellowcard Botond Barath 93'