Luzern
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 34
May 4, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Sportplatz Chruzmatt
Lugano

Luzern
0 - 2
Lugano


Beloko (16'), Meng Freimann (55'), Villiger (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bottani (12'), Koutsias (90+1')
Cimignani (21'), Bottani (55'), Steffen (56'), Doumbia (61'), El Wafi (69'), Osigwe (82'), Papadopoulos (84')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Servette 2-1 Luzern
Monday, April 21 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lausanne 2-0 Lugano
Monday, April 21 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
LuzernDrawLugano
42.24% (-0.12 -0.12)24.61% (0.048999999999999 0.05)33.15% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 58.43% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-0.201 -0.2)44.48% (0.2 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (-0.194 -0.19)66.85% (0.193 0.19)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (-0.14099999999999 -0.14)21.13% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.219 -0.22)53.97% (0.217 0.22)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)25.92% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)60.91% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Luzern 42.24%
    Lugano 33.15%
    Draw 24.61%
LuzernDrawLugano
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 42.24%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.15%

How you voted: Luzern vs Lugano

Luzern
58.3%
Draw
8.3%
Lugano
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 5pm
Gameweek 24
Lugano
2-0
Luzern
Cimignani (67'), Mahmoud (89')
Hajdari (82'), Saipi (90+1')

Rrudhani (42'), Stankovic (70'), Dorn (87')
Dec 7, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Luzern
1-4
Lugano
Rrudhani (76')
Spadanuda (20'), Stankovic (34')
Grgic (35' pen.), Mahmoud (40'), Steffen (64' pen.), Bottani (90+8')
Croci-Torti (21'), Grgic (42'), Papadopoulos (49'), Hajdari (76')
Aug 11, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Lugano
2-3
Luzern
Mahou (3'), Vladi (43')
Papadopoulos (60'), Lukas Mai (70')
Dorn (12'), Klidje (75', 88')
Ottiger (55'), Dorn (61')
Mar 3, 2024 1.15pm
Gameweek 26
Luzern
0-1
Lugano

Grbic (51'), Kadak (52'), Jasari (62'), Ulrich (90+2')
Vladi (40')
Vladi (34'), Valenzuela (58'), Sabbatini (74'), Lukas Mai (75')
Dec 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lugano
1-0
Luzern
Mahmoud (50')
Mahou (43'), Sabbatini (58'), Celar (90+3')

Frydek Jr (61')
rhs 2.0


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