Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.