Swiss Super League | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Stade de la Tuiliere (Lausanne)
Lugano

Lausanne
2 - 0
Lugano

Diabate (27'), Poaty (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bottani (87'), Marques (90+3')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lausanne Sport and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lausanne Sport

All competitions
Last Game: Winterthur 1-0 Lausanne
Saturday, April 12 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-1 St Gallen
Sunday, April 13 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.

Result
Lausanne SportDrawLugano
41.39% (-0.178 -0.18)24.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.19% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 59.45% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)43.29% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)65.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Lausanne Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)21.01% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (-0.147 -0.15)53.8% (0.145 0.14)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (0.078000000000003 0.08)24.73% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72% (0.111 0.11)59.28% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Lausanne Sport 41.39%
    Lugano 34.19%
    Draw 24.41%
Lausanne SportDrawLugano
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 41.39%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.19%

Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 18
Lugano
1-4
Lausanne
Przybylko (68')
Steffen (21'), Hajdari (45+1'), Saipi (52'), Sow (54'), Przybylko (90+4')
Sanches (10'), Dussenne (45+2' pen., 85'), Sene (90+5' pen.)
Koindredi (44'), Okou (52'), Dussenne (54')
Sep 18, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 5
Lausanne
1-2
Lugano
Diabate (90+2')
Okou (43'), Dussenne (45')
Poaty (39' og.), Aliseda (77')
Zanotti (45+1'), Doumbia (47'), Lukas Mai (56'), Hajdari (65')
Apr 20, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Lugano
2-0
Lausanne
Bislimi (4'), Grgic (10')
Doumbia (75'), Grgic (76')

Pafundi (67'), Custodio (67'), Szalai (78'), Dussenne (90+5')
Nov 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Lausanne
3-1
Lugano
Kalu (71'), Labeau (80'), Schwizer (90+4')
Sanches (27'), Sene (32')
Sabbatini (75')
Hajrizi (26'), Marques (44'), Macek (79')
Marques (70')
Sep 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Lugano
2-1
Lausanne
Celar (34'), Cimignani (73')
Sanches (48')
Husic (23'), Magnin (24'), Dussenne (37'), Sanches (60')