Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.