Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Lausanne Sport	Draw	Basel
31.79% ( -0.06)	24.06% ( 0.06)	44.14% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.84% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.58% (

-0.33)

42.41% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.18% (

-0.33)

64.81% (

0.33)

Lausanne Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26% (

-0.2)

25.73% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.33% (

-0.27)

60.66% (

0.27)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

-0.14)

19.42% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.74% (

-0.22)

51.25% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Lausanne Sport 31.79%

Basel 44.14%

Draw 24.05%

Lausanne Sport	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.79%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.05%	1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.14%