Swiss Super League
Gameweek
38
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-
Albian Ajeti
18'
-
Philip Otele
40'
-
Anton Kade
49'
-
Anton Kade
55'
-
Jonas Adjei Adjetey
63'
-
Benie Traore
69'
-
Donat Rrudhani
29'
-
Pius Dorn
84'
Basel vs Luzern - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 3-1 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Luzern win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
Result
Basel
62.03%
▲
(+0.72)
Draw
19.27%
▼
(-0.27)
Luzern
18.69%
▼
(-0.45)
Both Teams to Score:
62.5%
▲
(+0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.5%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 2.5
32.5%
▼
(-0.55)
Over 3.5
45.86%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 3.5
54.14%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 4.5
27.03%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 4.5
72.96%
▼
(-0.55)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5
89.85%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 0.5
10.14%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
66.64%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 1.5
33.35%
▼
(-0.77)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5
69.56%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
30.44%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
33.35%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
66.65%
▲
(+0.14)
Score analysis
Basel
62.03%
Draw
19.27%
Luzern
18.69%
Basel
2-1
@
9.62%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.07)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 62.03%
2-0 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.11)
4-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.07)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 62.03%
Draw
1-1
@
8.4%
▼
(-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.27%
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.27%
Luzern
1-2
@
5%
▼
(-0.11)
0-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 18.69%
0-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 18.69%
Andrejs Cigaņiks
90'+4'