Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 74.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 9.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.