Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Servette had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.