Club Friendlies 3
Sunderland
Jul 31, 2026 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sports Illustrated Stadium
Leeds
  • goal Lukas Nmecha 8'

Sunderland vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
York City 1 - 5 Sunderland

Leeds United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 3.30pm
Wrexham 0 - 0 Leeds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Sunderland 36.6% ▲ (+1.86)
Draw 27.22% ▼ (-0.93)
Leeds United 36.18% ▼ (-0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.53% ▲ (+2.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.1% ▲ (+2.55)
Under 1.5 24.9% ▼ (-2.56)
Over 2.5 51.28% ▲ (+3.29)
Under 2.5 48.72% ▼ (-3.29)
Over 3.5 29.16% ▲ (+2.54)
Under 3.5 70.84% ▼ (-2.54)
Over 4.5 16.08% ▲ (+1.77)
Under 4.5 83.92% ▼ (-1.77)

First Half Winner

Sunderland 27.43% ▲ (+1.41)
Draw 44.07% ▼ (-1.04)
Leeds United 28.5% ▼ (-0.38)

Team To Score First

Sunderland 46.22% ▲ (+1.68)
No Goal 7.44% ▼ (-1.20)
Leeds United 46.34% ▼ (-0.49)

Corners

Over 8 65.86% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 8 10.84% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 8 23.3% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 9 54.03% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.83% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 9 34.14% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 10.5 42.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 57.72% ▲ (+0.08)

Sunderland Goals

Over 1.5 37.77% ▲ (+3.21)
Under 1.5 62.23% ▼ (-3.21)
Over 2.5 14.81% ▲ (+2.08)
Under 2.5 85.19% ▼ (-2.08)
Over 3.5 4.73% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 3.5 95.27% ▼ (-0.77)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 70.63% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 0.5 29.37% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 1.5 37.73% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 1.5 62.27% ▼ (-0.88)
Over 2.5 15.27% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 2.5 84.73% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 3.5 5.04% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 3.5 94.96% ▼ (-0.36)

Score analysis

Sunderland 36.6%
Draw 27.23%
Leeds United 36.18%
Sunderland
1-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.57)
2-1 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.46)
2-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.36)
3-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.39)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.39)
Other @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.68)
Total : 36.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% ▼ (-0.36)
0-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-1.20)
2-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 27.23%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.80)
1-2 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.54)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.28)
Total : 36.18%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 29
Leeds
Mar 3, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
Sunderland
  • Lukas Nmecha 62' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Gnonto 74' yellowcard
  • Daniel James 74' yellowcard
  • Jayden Bogle 84' yellowcard
  • Joël Piroe 84' yellowcard
  • Jaka Bijol 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wilson Isidor 55'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 56'
  • yellowcard Habib Diarra 70'
  • yellowcard Bertrand Traoré 88'
  • yellowcard Chris Rigg 90'+5'
Premier League
Sunderland
Dec 28, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Leeds
  • Simon Adingra 28' goal
  • Trai Hume 61' yellowcard
  • goal Dominic Calvert-Lewin 47'
Championship Gameweek 33
Leeds
Feb 17, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Elland Road
Sunderland
  • Ao Tanaka 31' yellowcard
  • Jayden Bogle 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 78' goal
  • Junior Firpo 90' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 90'+5' goal
  • goal Wilson Isidor 32'
  • yellowcard Wilson Isidor 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jobe Bellingham 56'
  • yellowcard Trai Hume 61'
  • yellowcard Dennis Cirkin 80'
  • yellowcard Anthony Patterson 83'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Nien 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sunderland
Oct 4, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium of Light
Leeds
  • Chris Rigg 9' goal
  • Jobe Bellingham 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Neill 61' yellowcard
  • Chris Rigg 65' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 90'+7' goal
  • goal Joel Piroe 22'
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 39'
  • goal Junior Firpo 56'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 68'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 42
Leeds
Apr 9, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
Sunderland
  • Glen Kamara 70' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Ballard 21'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Nien 46'
  • yellowcard Chris Rigg 57'
  • yellowcard Jobe Bellingham 62'
Championship Gameweek 21
Sunderland
Dec 12, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
Leeds
  • Luke O'Nien 40' yellowcard
  • Jobe Bellingham 78' goal
  • yellowcard Archie Gray 28'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 70'

Form Data

Liverpool 4 - 2 Sunderland
York City 1 - 5 Sunderland
Sunderland 2 - 1 Chelsea
Everton 1 - 3 Sunderland
Sunderland 0 - 0 Man Utd
Wolves 1 - 1 Sunderland
Wrexham 0 - 0 Leeds
West Ham 3 - 0 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 0 Brighton
Spurs 1 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 1 Burnley
Chelsea 1 - 0 Leeds

Build-up

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