Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.03% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%) , while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.