Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Georgios Vagiannidis 63' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez Charris 74' goal
  • Daniel Braganca 87' yellowcard
  • Alisson de Almeida Santos 87' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez Charris 90' goal
  • Giorgi Kochorashvili 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 66'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Ramos 71'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 79'
  • yellowcard Illia Zabarnyi 80'

Sporting Lisbon vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 5.45pm
Bayern 3 - 1 Sporting Lisbon

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 0 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 38.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 7.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (8.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 38.66% (-0.72)
Draw 23.06% (-0.20)
Paris Saint-Germain 38.24% (+0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.54% (+1.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.71% (+1.03)
Under 1.5 19.29% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 58.67% (+1.25)
Under 2.5 41.33% (-1.25)
Over 3.5 36.35% (+1.22)
Under 3.5 63.65% (-1.22)
Over 4.5 22.1% (+0.67)
Under 4.5 77.9% (-0.66)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 32.46% (-0.04)
Draw 34.59%
Paris Saint-Germain 32.95% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 55.04% (+0.37)
No Goal 4.89% (-0.42)
Paris Saint-Germain 40.07% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 48.33% (-3.68)
Equal 8 10.57% (-0.09)
Under 8 41.1% (+3.76)
Over 9 38.24% (-3.34)
Equal 9 10.09% (-0.34)
Under 9 51.67% (+3.68)
Over 10.5 29.33% (-2.81)
Under 10.5 70.67% (+2.80)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 41.55% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 58.45% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 19.69% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 80.31% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 7.29% (+0.41)
Under 3.5 92.71% (-0.41)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 71.34% (+0.86)
Under 0.5 28.66% (-0.86)
Over 1.5 42.32% (+1.43)
Under 1.5 57.68% (-1.43)
Over 2.5 18.56% (+0.78)
Under 2.5 81.44% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 7.32% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 92.68% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 38.66%
Draw 23.08%
Paris Saint-Germain 38.23%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.39)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.39)
3-1 @ 4.26% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 7.06% (+0.33)
Total : 38.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.79% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.42)
3-3 @ 1.59% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.23% (+0.08)
Total : 23.08%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 8.87% (+0.28)
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 6.01% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 4.19% (+0.40)
2-3 @ 3.04% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.42% (+0.07)
Other @ 7.09% (+0.13)
Total : 38.23%