Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Issa Doumbia 34' yellowcard
  • 34' yellowcard
  • 44' yellowcard
  • Rafael Nel 55' goal
  • Jesse Derry 68' goal

Sporting Lisbon vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 20, 2026 8.15pm
Sporting Lisbon 7 - 0 Strasbourg

Monaco

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 9.30am
Monaco 5 - 2 Saint-Priest

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.41% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 15.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 3-1 (6.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%) , while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 65.99% ▼ (-0.41)
Draw 18.41% ▲ (+0.22)
Monaco 15.6% ▲ (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.98% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 88.22% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 11.78% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 71.77% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 28.23% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 50.04% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 49.96% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 4.5 35.7%
Under 4.5 64.3%

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 48% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 34.18% ▲ (+0.25)
Monaco 17.82% ▼ (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 66.03% ▼ (-0.68)
No Goal 2.78% ▲ (+0.06)
Monaco 31.19% ▲ (+0.63)

Corners

Over 8 73.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 8 9.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 16.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 63.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 26.16% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 10.5 51.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 48.36% ▼ (-0.08)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 69.7% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 1.5 30.3% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 2.5 44.44% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 55.56% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 3.5 24.63% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 75.37% ▲ (+0.24)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 53.04% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 0.5 46.96% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 1.5 25.98% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 74.02% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 9.58% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 90.42% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 3.01% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 96.99% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 66%
Draw 18.4%
Monaco 15.61%
Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 24.02% ▼ (-0.27)
Total : 66%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 18.4%
Monaco
1-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 15.61%