International Friendlies
Sep 28, 2026 12.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Seoul World Cup Stadium
  • Kang-in Lee 80' goal
  • goal Darwin Núñez 13'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 22'
  • goal Giorgian de Arrascaeta 27'
  • goal Min-jae Kim 43' (OG)
  • goal Darwin Núñez 62'

South Korea vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 4, 2026 2.00am
South Korea 1 - 0 El Salvador

Uruguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.30pm
Algeria 0 - 0 Uruguay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 50.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.16% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%) , while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (7.81%).

Result

South Korea 50.72% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 27.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Uruguay 22.12% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.44% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 31.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 43.59% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 56.41% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 23.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 76.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 4.5 12.92% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 87.08% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

South Korea 38.54% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 44.27% ▲ (+0.25)
Uruguay 17.19% ▼ (-0.10)

Team To Score First

South Korea 59.88% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 10.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Uruguay 29.98% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 49.44% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 8 11.94% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 38.62% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 9 38.06% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 9 11.38% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 9 50.56% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 10.5 28.06% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 10.5 71.94% ▼ (-0.13)

South Korea Goals

Over 1.5 43.66% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 56.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 19.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.29%
Under 3.5 92.71%

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5 54.66% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 45.34% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 21.43% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 78.57% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 6.66% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 93.34% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

South Korea 50.72%
Draw 27.16%
Uruguay 22.14%
South Korea
1-0 @ 13.48% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.1%
Total : 50.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.14% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 27.16%
Uruguay
0-1 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.14%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2023 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Seoul World Cup Stadium
  • Hwang In-beom 51' goal
  • goal Sebastian Coates 10'
  • goal Matias Vecino 63'
World Cup
Nov 24, 2022 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
International Friendlies
Oct 12, 2018 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Seoul World Cup Stadium (Seoul)
  • Hwang Eui-jo 66' goal
  • Jung Woo-young 80' goal
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 27'
  • yellowcard Fernando Muslera 65'
  • goal Matias Vecino 72'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Bentancur 76'
World Cup
Jun 26, 2010 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • Luis Suarez 8' goal
  • Luis Suarez 80' goal
  • goal Lee Chung-yong 68'