Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.