Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 9, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Pisa
3 - 3
Sudtirol

Rasmussen (39'), Sernicola (78'), Rus (90+3')
Morutan (59'), Rus (69'), Meister (84')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mallamo (22'), Gori (37' pen.), Pietrangeli (67')
Martini (57'), Pyyhtia (90+2')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Pisa and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pisa

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 1-0 Pisa
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 2-1 Cosenza
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
PisaDrawSudtirol
56.76% (1.596 1.6)24% (-0.7 -0.7)19.23% (-0.899 -0.9)
Both teams to score 47.5% (0.624 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (1.554 1.55)52.72% (-1.557 -1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.64% (1.314 1.31)74.36% (-1.316 -1.32)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (1.203 1.2)18.41% (-1.204 -1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43% (1.998 2)49.56% (-1.999 -2)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.22% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)41.78% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.76% (-0.081 -0.08)78.24% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Pisa 56.75%
    Sudtirol 19.23%
    Draw 24%
PisaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 13.01% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 11.01% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.323 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.268 0.27)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.229 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.195 0.2)
4-2 @ 1% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.75%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.484 -0.48)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.441 -0.44)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 19.23%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 9
Sudtirol
1-2
Pisa
Tait (29')
Masiello (64')
Rasmussen (38'), Arena (59' pen.)
Piccinini (42'), Marin (80'), Toure (88')
May 5, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 37
Pisa
2-2
Sudtirol
Bonfanti (43'), Moreo (73')
Valoti (30'), Calabresi (52'), Canestrelli (82')
Molina (53'), Odogwu (68' pen.)
Mallamo (27')
Nov 11, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 13
Sudtirol
1-2
Pisa
Pecorino (61')
Kofler (6'), Merkaj (37')
Valoti (45', 50')
Tramoni (21'), Piccinini (33'), Marin (40'), Esteves (42'), Calabresi (79'), Nicolas (79')
Feb 4, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 23
Pisa
0-1
Sudtirol
Belardinelli (11')
Sep 4, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 4
Sudtirol
2-1
Pisa
Rover (35' pen., 63' pen.)
Ionita (23')