Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.