Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.