Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.25% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%) , while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.