Serie B Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2026 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Giacomo Olzer 47' yellowcard
  • Andrea Belotti 61' goal
  • Alessandro Bianco 66' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Ambrosino 70' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Magnino 20'
  • goal Gerard Yepes 27'
  • yellowcard Cristian Căuz 82'

Modena vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.00pm
Sudtirol 1 - 1 Modena
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Giuseppe Caso

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 6.00pm
Empoli 0 - 1 Arezzo
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Stiven Shpendi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Modena 46.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 26.85%
Empoli 26.89% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.31% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.91% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 28.09% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 47.26% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 52.74% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 25.71% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 74.29% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 14.23% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 85.77% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Modena 34.46%
Draw 47.39%
Empoli 18.15%

Team To Score First

Modena 57.92% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 8.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Empoli 33.43% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.89%
Equal 8 12.12%
Under 8 37%
Over 9 39.2%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 49.11%
Over 10.5 28.84%
Under 10.5 71.16%

Modena Goals

Over 1.5 42.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 57.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 18.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.79% ▲ (+0.03)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 61.02% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 38.98% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 27.57% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 72.43% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 9.92% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 90.08% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.07% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Modena 46.27%
Draw 26.84%
Empoli 26.89%
Modena
1-0 @ 11.64% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 46.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.84%
Empoli
0-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 26.89%

Head to Head

Serie B
Jan 31, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Stiven Shpendi 46' yellowcard
  • Gerard Yepes 70' yellowcard
  • Antonio Candela 70' yellowcard
  • Daniel Fila 70' yellowcard
  • Brando Moruzzi 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ettore Gliozzi 67'
  • yellowcard Niklas Pyyhtiä 68'
  • yellowcard Luca Zanimacchia 68'
  • yellowcard Grégoire Defrel 73'
  • yellowcard Davide Adorni 82'
Serie B
Oct 24, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT