Serie B Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2026 6.30pm
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.00pm
Sudtirol 1 - 1 Modena
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Giuseppe Caso

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 6.00pm
Empoli 0 - 1 Arezzo
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Stiven Shpendi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Modena win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Empoli has a probability of 26.96% and a draw has a probability of 26.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Empoli win is 0-1 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.09%).

Result

Modena 46.2% (+0.03)
Draw 26.85% (+0.18)
Empoli 26.96% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.41% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.02% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 27.98% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 47.4% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 52.6% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 25.84% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 74.16% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 14.34% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 85.66% (+0.23)

First Half Winner

Modena 34.46% (+0.62)
Draw 47.39% (-0.29)
Empoli 18.15% (-0.34)

Team To Score First

Modena 57.94% (+0.51)
No Goal 8.62% (+0.09)
Empoli 33.44% (-0.61)

Corners

Over 8 50.89% (-0.18)
Equal 8 12.12% (+0.02)
Under 8 37% (+0.16)
Over 9 39.2% (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.69% (-0.01)
Under 9 49.11% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 28.84% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 71.16% (+0.15)

Modena Goals

Over 1.5 42.61% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.39% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 18.03% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 81.97% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 6.23% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.77% (+0.05)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 61.14% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 38.86% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 27.72% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 72.28% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 10.04% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 89.96% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.99% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.01% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Modena 46.2%
Draw 26.84%
Empoli 26.98%
Modena
1-0 @ 11.6% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.31% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.51% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 4.12% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.09)
Other @ 6.03% (-0.07)
Total : 46.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.62% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.03)
Total : 26.84%
Empoli
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.4% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.73% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.79% (-0.07)
Total : 26.98%

Head to Head

Serie B
Jan 31, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Stiven Shpendi 46' yellowcard
  • Gerard Yepes 70' yellowcard
  • Antonio Candela 70' yellowcard
  • Daniel Fila 70' yellowcard
  • Brando Moruzzi 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ettore Gliozzi 67'
  • yellowcard Niklas Pyyhtiä 68'
  • yellowcard Luca Zanimacchia 68'
  • yellowcard Grégoire Defrel 73'
  • yellowcard Davide Adorni 82'
Serie B
Oct 24, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT