Serie B Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2026 6.00pm
Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli vs Arezzo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 6.30pm
Carrarese 0 - 1 Empoli
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Stiven Shpendi

Arezzo

All competitions
Serie B
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 4.15pm
Hellas Verona 5 - 0 Arezzo
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Pietro Cianci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Empoli win with a probability of 48.21%. A draw has a probability of 27.03% and a win for Arezzo has a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.55%) , while for a Arezzo win it is 0-1 (8.21%).

Result

Empoli 48.21% (+3.81)
Draw 27.03% (-1.03)
Arezzo 24.73% (-2.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.92% (+0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.41% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 29.59% (-0.59)
Over 2.5 45.44% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 54.56% (-0.67)
Over 3.5 23.31% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 76.69% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 12.5% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 87.5% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Empoli 32.13% (+2.43)
Draw 47.62% (-1.11)
Arezzo 20.25% (-1.33)

Team To Score First

Empoli 51.36% (-0.55)
No Goal 9.15% (-0.42)
Arezzo 39.49% (+0.97)

Corners

Over 8 52.4% (+4.29)
Equal 8 12.17% (+0.17)
Under 8 35.43% (-4.46)
Over 9 40.52% (+3.75)
Equal 9 11.89% (+0.56)
Under 9 47.6% (-4.29)
Over 10.5 29.88% (+2.99)
Under 10.5 70.12% (-2.98)

Empoli Goals

Over 1.5 42.69% (+2.97)
Under 1.5 57.31% (-2.97)
Over 2.5 18.28% (+1.91)
Under 2.5 81.72% (-1.91)
Over 3.5 6.27% (+0.87)
Under 3.5 93.73% (-0.87)

Arezzo Goals

Over 0.5 59.26% (-2.43)
Under 0.5 40.74% (+2.43)
Over 1.5 24.26% (-2.26)
Under 1.5 75.74% (+2.26)
Over 2.5 7.12% (-1.42)
Under 2.5 92.88% (+1.43)
Over 3.5 1.79% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 98.21% (+0.58)

Score analysis

Empoli 48.2%
Draw 27.04%
Arezzo 24.72%
Empoli
1-0 @ 12.19% (+0.47)
2-1 @ 9.88% (+0.52)
2-0 @ 8.56% (+0.81)
3-0 @ 4.54% (+0.67)
3-1 @ 4.36% (+0.38)
3-2 @ 2.41% (+0.07)
Other @ 6.26% (+0.92)
Total : 48.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.42)
0-0 @ 9.15% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.05)
Total : 27.04%
Arezzo
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.63)
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.36)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.47)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.33)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.18)
Other @ 1.78% (-0.53)
Total : 24.72%