Serie B Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2026 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Edoardo Biondini 18' yellowcard
  • Marco Curto 45' redcard
  • goal Simone Romagnoli 74' (OG)
  • yellowcard Matteo Gilli 89'

Empoli vs Arezzo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 6.30pm
Carrarese 0 - 1 Empoli
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Stiven Shpendi

Arezzo

All competitions
Serie B
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 4.15pm
Hellas Verona 5 - 0 Arezzo
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Pietro Cianci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.04% and a win for Arezzo had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%) , while for a Arezzo win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Empoli 48.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 27.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Arezzo 24.76% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.96% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 54.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 23.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 76.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.47% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Empoli 32.13%
Draw 47.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Arezzo 20.24% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Empoli 51.36%
No Goal 9.15%
Arezzo 39.49%

Corners

Over 8 52.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 12.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 35.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 40.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 47.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 29.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 70.09% ▼ (-0.04)

Empoli Goals

Over 1.5 42.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 81.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.27%
Under 3.5 93.73%

Arezzo Goals

Over 0.5 59.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 75.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.2% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Empoli 48.21%
Draw 27.04%
Arezzo 24.75%
Empoli
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 8.56%
3-0 @ 4.54%
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.26%
Total : 48.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.04%
Arezzo
0-1 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.75%