Serie B Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • yellowcard Luca Magnino 51'
  • goal Bogdan Popov 74'
  • yellowcard Filippo Distefano 87'

Carrarese vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 8.00pm
Ascoli 1 - 1 Carrarese
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Pietro Pinelli

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 6.00pm
Mantova 3 - 1 Empoli
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Stiven Shpendi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 44.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.94% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 27.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Carrarese 44.57%
Draw 27.94%
Empoli 27.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.44% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 30.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 43.99%
Under 2.5 56.01%
Over 3.5 23.07%
Under 3.5 76.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.01% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Carrarese 29.11%
Draw 49.46%
Empoli 21.42%

Team To Score First

Carrarese 51.42%
No Goal 9.42%
Empoli 39.16%

Corners

Over 8 55.33%
Equal 8 11.81%
Under 8 32.87%
Over 9 43.52%
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 44.67%
Over 10.5 32.71%
Under 10.5 67.29%

Carrarese Goals

Over 1.5 39.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 60.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 83.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.7% ▼ (-0.01)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 61.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 38.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 73.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.84% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Carrarese 44.58%
Draw 27.95%
Empoli 27.47%
Carrarese
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 5.23%
Total : 44.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 9.42%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.95%
Empoli
0-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 27.47%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 21
Jan 23, 2026 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Julian Illanes Minucci 28' goal
  • Julián Illanes 28' goal
  • Simone Zanon 62' goal
  • Manuel Cicconi 64' yellowcard
  • Filippo Distefano 64' yellowcard
  • Fabio Ruggeri 69' yellowcard
  • Fabio Andrea Ruggeri 69' yellowcard
  • Fabio Abiuso 76' goal
  • Mattia Finotto 80' yellowcard
  • Filippo Melegoni 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Ceesay 46'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Ignacchiti 46'
  • yellowcard Tyronne Ebuehi 71'
  • yellowcard Duccio Degl'Innocenti 71'
  • yellowcard Duccio Degli Innocenti 71'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Popov 78'
Serie B
Sep 28, 2025 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT