Serie B Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 6.30pm
Stadio dei Marmi

Carrarese vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 8.00pm
Ascoli 1 - 1 Carrarese
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Pietro Pinelli

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 6.00pm
Mantova 3 - 1 Empoli
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Stiven Shpendi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carrarese win with a probability of 44.57%. A draw has a probability of 27.94% and a win for Empoli has a probability of 27.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Empoli win it is 0-1 (8.99%).

Result

Carrarese 44.57% (+0.22)
Draw 27.94% (-0.55)
Empoli 27.48% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.48% (+0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.47% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 30.53% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 43.99% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 56.01% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 23.07% (+0.45)
Under 3.5 76.9% (-0.48)
Over 4.5 11.97% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 88.03% (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Carrarese 29.11% (+0.60)
Draw 49.46% (+0.07)
Empoli 21.42% (-0.67)

Team To Score First

Carrarese 51.42% (-0.30)
No Goal 9.42% (-0.18)
Empoli 39.16% (+0.48)

Corners

Over 8 55.33% (-1.75)
Equal 8 11.81% (-0.09)
Under 8 32.87% (+1.83)
Over 9 43.52% (-1.50)
Equal 9 11.8% (-0.25)
Under 9 44.67% (+1.75)
Over 10.5 32.71% (-1.15)
Under 10.5 67.29% (+1.16)

Carrarese Goals

Over 1.5 39.77% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 60.23% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 16.08% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 83.92% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 5.29% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 94.71% (-0.10)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 61.35% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 38.65% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 26.28% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 73.72% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 8.35% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 91.65% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 2.15% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.85% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Carrarese 44.58%
Draw 27.93%
Empoli 27.47%
Carrarese
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.07% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.77% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.23% (+0.17)
Total : 44.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.24)
0-0 @ 9.42% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.08)
Total : 27.93%
Empoli
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.52% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.23% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.09% (+0.14)
Total : 27.47%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 21
Jan 23, 2026 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Julian Illanes Minucci 28' goal
  • Julián Illanes 28' goal
  • Simone Zanon 62' goal
  • Manuel Cicconi 64' yellowcard
  • Filippo Distefano 64' yellowcard
  • Fabio Ruggeri 69' yellowcard
  • Fabio Andrea Ruggeri 69' yellowcard
  • Fabio Abiuso 76' goal
  • Mattia Finotto 80' yellowcard
  • Filippo Melegoni 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joseph Ceesay 46'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Ignacchiti 46'
  • yellowcard Tyronne Ebuehi 71'
  • yellowcard Duccio Degl'Innocenti 71'
  • yellowcard Duccio Degli Innocenti 71'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Popov 78'
Serie B
Sep 28, 2025 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT