Serie B Gameweek 3
Sep 6, 2026 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Francesco Zampano 34' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Ambrosino 76' yellowcard
  • Kleis Bozhanaj 87' yellowcard
  • goal Michele Besaggio 8'
  • yellowcard Lorenco Simic 38'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Martinelli 90'

Modena vs Avellino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.30pm
Cremonese 0 - 3 Modena
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Giacomo Olzer

Avellino

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 8.00pm
Avellino 3 - 0 Vicenza
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Raffaele Russo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.19% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%) , while for a Avellino win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Modena 56.07% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 24.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Avellino 19.74% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

52% ▼ (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.31% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 24.69% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 51.4% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 48.6% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 29.89% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 70.11% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 17.85% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 82.15% ▲ (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Modena 43.17%
Draw 42.22%
Avellino 14.61%

Team To Score First

Modena 63.74% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 7.19% ▲ (+0.06)
Avellino 29.07% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 44.63%
Equal 8 11.68%
Under 8 43.68%
Over 9 33.89%
Equal 9 10.74%
Under 9 55.37%
Over 10.5 24.76%
Under 10.5 75.24%

Modena Goals

Over 1.5 51.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 48.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 25.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 74.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 10.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 89.81% ▲ (+0.05)

Avellino Goals

Over 0.5 55% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 45% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 22.96% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 77.04% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 2.5 7.44% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 2.5 92.56% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 2.27% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 97.73% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Modena 56.07%
Draw 24.19%
Avellino 19.74%
Modena
1-0 @ 11.8% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 10.08% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 56.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.19%
Avellino
0-1 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 19.74%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 38
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
  • Fabrizio Bagheria 44' goal
  • Martin Palumbo 76' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Sgarbi 87' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Biasci 88' yellowcard
  • Justin Kumi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Grégoire Defrel 46'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Sersanti 46'
  • yellowcard Gady Beyuku 62'
  • yellowcard Tito Maria Fabbri 73'
  • yellowcard Manuel De Luca 79'
Serie B
Aug 31, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT