Serie B Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Marco Druso

Sudtirol vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 2.00pm
Sudtirol 0 - 0 Catanzaro
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Simone Davi

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 2.00pm
Modena 0 - 1 Avellino
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Giacomo Olzer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sudtirol win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Modena has a probability of 35.91% and a draw has a probability of 28.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Modena win is 0-1 (9.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.14%).

Result

Sudtirol 35.94% (+0.92)
Draw 28.15% (+0.37)
Modena 35.91% (-1.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.81% (+1.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.83% (+1.21)
Under 1.5 29.17% (-1.20)
Over 2.5 45.71% (+1.56)
Under 2.5 54.29% (-1.56)
Over 3.5 24.03% (+1.25)
Under 3.5 75.97% (-1.24)
Over 4.5 12.52% (+0.81)
Under 4.5 87.48% (-0.82)

First Half Winner

Sudtirol 27.46% (-2.09)
Draw 45.88% (+1.98)
Modena 26.67% (+0.14)

Team To Score First

Sudtirol 44.09% (-1.06)
No Goal 8.81% (-0.33)
Modena 47.1% (+1.39)

Corners

Over 8 57.72% (+0.79)
Equal 8 11.59% (-0.22)
Under 8 30.68% (-0.59)
Over 9 45.92% (+0.93)
Equal 9 11.81% (-0.14)
Under 9 42.28% (-0.79)
Over 10.5 34.89% (+0.99)
Under 10.5 65.11% (-0.99)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 1.5 33.86% (+1.88)
Under 1.5 66.14% (-1.88)
Over 2.5 12.24% (+1.23)
Under 2.5 87.76% (-1.22)
Over 3.5 3.71% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 96.29% (-0.58)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 68.44% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 31.56% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 34.15% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.85% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.22% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.78% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.8% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.2% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sudtirol 35.94%
Draw 28.15%
Modena 35.92%
Sudtirol
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.30)
2-1 @ 8.24% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 6% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.07% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 2.61% (+0.22)
3-2 @ 1.87% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.62% (+0.50)
Total : 35.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.81% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 5.13% (+0.37)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.08)
Total : 28.15%
Modena
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.58)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.46)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.71% (-0.07)
Total : 35.92%

Head to Head

Serie B
Apr 11, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Marco Druso
  • Daniele Casiraghi 4' yellowcard
  • Domen Črnigoj 46' yellowcard
  • Federico Davi 46' yellowcard
  • Nicola Pietrangeli 60' goal
  • Marco Frigerio 69' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Martini 77' yellowcard
  • Raphael Odogwu 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michele Pezzolato 10'
  • goal Simone Santoro 21'
  • yellowcard Niklas Pyyhtiä 69'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Ambrosino 69'
  • yellowcard Matteo Cotali 83'
  • yellowcard Francesco Zampano 83'
Serie B
Nov 22, 2025 7.45pm
Serie B Gameweek 20
Dec 29, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Giovanni Zaro 1' yellowcard
  • Cristian Cauz 28' redcard
  • Mattia Caldara 68' yellowcard
  • Fabio Abiuso 78' yellowcard
  • Simone Santoro 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Castori 2'
  • yellowcard Raphael Kofler 38'
  • yellowcard Silvio Merkaj 52'
  • yellowcard Daniele Casiraghi 57'
  • redcard Daniele Casiraghi 74'
Serie B Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Marco Druso
  • Alessandro Mallamo 6' goal
  • Andrea Giorgini 55' yellowcard
  • Matteo Rover 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Antonio Pergreffi 31'
  • goal Kleis Bozhanaj 40'
  • yellowcard Ettore Gliozzi 47'
  • yellowcard Antonio Palumbo 90'+4'
Serie B Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Antonio Palumbo 54' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Zaro 67' goal
  • yellowcard Simone Davi 22'
  • yellowcard Raphael Odogwu 72'
  • yellowcard Matteo Rover 80'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Arrigoni 86'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Ciervo 90'+2'
Serie B Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2023 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Marco Druso
  • Andrea Giorgini 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacopo Manconi 63'
  • yellowcard Fabio Ponsi 87'