Serie B | Gameweek 38

May 9, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Mantova
2 - 1
Carrarese

Mancuso (44'), Debenedetti (83')
Cella (63'), Aramu (84'), Bragantini (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Finotto (47')
Illanes Minucci (33'), Cicconi (55'), Capezzi (76')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Mantova and Carrarese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 2-0 Mantova
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Carrarese

All competitions

Last Game: Carrarese 2-1 Modena
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mantova would win this match.

Result
Mantova	Draw	Carrarese
42.73% ( 0)	26.8% ( -0)	30.47% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.19% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.32% (

54.68% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24% (

76% (

-0)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

25.34% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

60.12% (

-0)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.23%

32.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.67% (

-0)

69.33% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Mantova 42.73%

Carrarese 30.47%

Draw 26.8%

Mantova	Draw	Carrarese
1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.73%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.8%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.47%