Serie B Gameweek 37
Salernitana
May 4, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Arechi
Mantova
  • Lorenzo Amatucci 45'+1' goal
  • Simy 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Brignani 29'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Radaelli 38'

Salernitana vs Mantova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2025 2.00pm
Spezia 2 - 0 Salernitana
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Simy

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
May 1, 2025 2.00pm
Mantova 3 - 0 Cesena
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Leonardo Mancuso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 1-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.

Result

Salernitana 56.41% ▲ (+0.50)
Draw 21.48% ▼ (-0.08)
Mantova 22.11% ▼ (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.08% ▼ (-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.83% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 38.17% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 39.56% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 60.44% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 21.78% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 78.21% ▲ (+0.14)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 86.56% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 13.44% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 59.58% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 40.42% ▼ (-0.20)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5 69.41% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 0.5 30.59% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 1.5 33.18% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 1.5 66.82% ▲ (+0.54)

Score analysis

Salernitana 56.41%
Draw 21.48%
Mantova 22.11%
Salernitana
2-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.13)
1-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 56.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.48%
Mantova
1-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 22.11%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 4
Mantova
Sep 1, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
Salernitana
  • Francesco Galuppini 46' goal
  • yellowcard Tijs Velthuis 79'
  • yellowcard Ajdin Hrustic 87'
  • yellowcard Ernesto Torregrossa 87'

Form Data

Spezia 2 - 0 Salernitana
Salernitana 3 - 1 Cosenza
Salernitana 2 - 1 Sudtirol
Juve Stabia 1 - 0 Salernitana
Salernitana 1 - 2 Palermo
Bari 0 - 0 Salernitana
Mantova 3 - 0 Cesena
Cremonese 4 - 2 Mantova
Mantova 2 - 2 Spezia
Brescia 1 - 2 Mantova
Mantova 2 - 0 Sudtirol
Pisa 3 - 1 Mantova