Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 1-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Mantova
56.41% ( 0.49)	21.48% ( -0.08)	22.11% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 60.08% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.83% (

-0.16)

38.17% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.56% (

-0.17)

60.44% (

0.17)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.56% (

0.1)

13.44% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.58% (

0.2)

40.42% (

-0.19)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.41% (

-0.45)

30.59% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.18% (

-0.54)

66.82% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 56.41%

Mantova 22.11%

Draw 21.48%

Salernitana	Draw	Mantova
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.63% Total : 56.41%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.48%	1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 22.11%