Serie B Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Euganeo
  • Antonio Calabro 33' yellowcard
  • Emanuele Zuelli 53' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Dellavalle 59' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Galazzi 63' goal
  • Pietro Fusi 77' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Capelli 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giacomo De Pieri 59'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Rizzo 62'

Calcio Padova vs Ascoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 6.30pm
Cremonese 3 - 1 Calcio Padova
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Pietro Fusi

Ascoli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 4.15pm
Ascoli 1 - 0 Benevento
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Andrea Silipo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 1-0 (8.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Calcio Padova 31.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 27.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Ascoli 41.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.78% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 47.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 52.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 25.74% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 74.26% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 13.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.2% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Calcio Padova 23.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 46.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Ascoli 30.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Calcio Padova 39.16%
No Goal 8.47%
Ascoli 52.37%

Corners

Over 8 51.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.46%
Under 8 35.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 39.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.13%
Under 9 48.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 28.99% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 71.01% ▲ (+0.03)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 1.5 31.28%
Under 1.5 68.72%
Over 2.5 11.35%
Under 2.5 88.65%
Over 3.5 3.3%
Under 3.5 96.7%

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5 72.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.52%
Under 1.5 61.48%
Over 2.5 15.83%
Under 2.5 84.17%
Over 3.5 5.21%
Under 3.5 94.79%

Score analysis

Calcio Padova 31.57%
Draw 27.11%
Ascoli 41.31%
Calcio Padova
1-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07%
Other @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 31.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.11%
Ascoli
0-1 @ 11% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 3.94%
0-3 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 41.31%