Serie B Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Comunale Euganeo

Calcio Padova vs Ascoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 6.30pm
Cremonese 3 - 1 Calcio Padova
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Pietro Fusi

Ascoli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 4.15pm
Ascoli 1 - 0 Benevento
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Andrea Silipo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ascoli win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Calcio Padova has a probability of 31.61% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ascoli win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win is 1-0 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.5%).

Result

Calcio Padova 31.61% (-0.24)
Draw 27.1% (-0.02)
Ascoli 41.29% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.78% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.64% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 28.36% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 47.03% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 52.97% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.61% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.39% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 13.71% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.29% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Calcio Padova 23.49% (-0.02)
Draw 46.1%
Ascoli 30.41% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Calcio Padova 39.18% (-0.03)
No Goal 8.5% (-0.02)
Ascoli 52.32% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.92% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.46% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.62% (+0.05)
Over 9 39.79% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.13% (-0.01)
Under 9 48.08% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 29% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 71% (+0.02)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 1.5 31.24% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 68.76% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 11.31% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 88.69% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.28% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 96.72% (+0.05)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5 72.24% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 27.76% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 38.43% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 61.57% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 15.77% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 84.23% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 5.18% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.82% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Calcio Padova 31.61%
Draw 27.11%
Ascoli 41.3%
Calcio Padova
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.18% (-0.05)
Total : 31.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 27.11%
Ascoli
0-1 @ 11.04% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.53% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.99% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.94% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.36% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.08% (+0.07)
Total : 41.3%