Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
  • goal Gianluca Caprari 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Carissoni 44'

Cittadella vs Calcio Padova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cittadella

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 4.00pm
Cremonese 1 - 1 Cittadella

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm
Calcio Padova 1 - 3 Ospitaletto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.18% and a win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%) , while for a Calcio Padova win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Cittadella 44.75% ▼ (-0.47)
Draw 28.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Calcio Padova 27.07% ▲ (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.65% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.17% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 53.83% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 24.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 75.68% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 12.86% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 87.14% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Cittadella 33.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 43.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Calcio Padova 22.16% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Cittadella 53.64% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 9.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Calcio Padova 37.26% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.38% ▼ (-0.52)
Equal 8 11.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 30.66% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 9 45.21% ▼ (-0.50)
Equal 9 12.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 42.62% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 10.5 33.91% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 10.5 66.09% ▲ (+0.46)

Cittadella Goals

Over 1.5 41.14% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 58.86% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 16.48% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 83.52% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 5.28% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 94.72% ▲ (+0.11)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5 62.27% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 0.5 37.73% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 27.63% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 72.37% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 9.19% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 90.81% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 2.59% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.41% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Cittadella 44.76%
Draw 28.17%
Calcio Padova 27.07%
Cittadella
1-0 @ 11.51% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 44.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.17%
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 28.17%
Calcio Padova
0-1 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 27.07%