Serie B Gameweek 3
Sep 6, 2026 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Giovanni Zini
  • Federico Bonazzoli 1' goal
  • Adin Licina 5' goal
  • Federico Bonazzoli 56' goal
  • goal Marco Pompetti 45'+1'

Cremonese vs Calcio Padova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 7.30pm
Cremonese 0 - 3 Modena
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Federico Bonazzoli

Calcio Padova

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 8.00pm
Calcio Padova 1 - 1 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Pietro Fusi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 0-1 (9.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Cremonese 42.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 28.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Calcio Padova 28.86% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.66% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.81% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 32.19% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 42.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 57.69% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 22.25% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 77.75% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 11.34% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 88.66% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Cremonese 29.82%
Draw 47.16%
Calcio Padova 23.02%

Team To Score First

Cremonese 50.63% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 10.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Calcio Padova 38.87% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.18%
Equal 8 12.84%
Under 8 35.99%
Over 9 38.75%
Equal 9 12.43%
Under 9 48.82%
Over 10.5 27.8%
Under 10.5 72.2%

Cremonese Goals

Over 1.5 37.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.39% ▲ (+0.02)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5 61.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 38.67% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 26.96% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 73.04% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 8.68% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 91.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 2.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.73% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Cremonese 42.6%
Draw 28.52%
Calcio Padova 28.86%
Cremonese
1-0 @ 12.21% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 42.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.5% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 28.52%
Calcio Padova
0-1 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.95%
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.86%