Cremonese
Serie B | 1st Leg
May 29, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Spezia Calcio logo

Cremonese
0 - 0
Spezia


Antov (7'), Azzi (26'), Collocolo (73'), Pickel (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aurelio (15')
Nagy (45'), Bandinelli (49'), Cassata (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie B playoff final between Cremonese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions
Last Game: Cremonese 3-0 Juve Stabia
Sunday, May 25 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Catanzaro
Sunday, May 25 at 6.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawSpezia
46.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)27.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 49.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.27% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12%34.87% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.39%71.61% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 46.23%
    Spezia 27.43%
    Draw 26.33%
CremoneseDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.17%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.61%
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.43%

How you voted: Winner SF2 vs Winner SF1

Winner Semi-final 2
53.1%
Draw
34.4%
Winner Semi-final 1
12.5%
32
Head to Head
May 9, 2025 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Spezia
2-3
Cremonese
Pio Esposito (69'), Lapadula (75' pen.)
Mateju (31'), Vignali (56')
Barbieri (13'), Azzi (17'), Vandeputte (43')
Bianchetti (26'), Barbieri (31'), Johnsen (33'), Pickel (50'), Nasti (88'), Valoti (90+6')
Bianchetti (59')
Sep 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 5
Cremonese
1-1
Spezia
Collocolo (33')
Majer (64')
Hristov (65')
Bandinelli (71'), Bertola (76'), Degl'Innocenti (76'), Nagy (90'), Nagy (90+2')
Jan 20, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 21
Spezia
0-1
Cremonese

Kouda (33'), Cassata (34'), Nikolaou (90+8'), Hristov (90')
Coda (54')
Falletti (49'), Collocolo (70')
Nov 5, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Cremonese
3-0
Spezia
Sernicola (12'), Zanimacchia (29'), Coda (52')
Pickel (39'), Antov (81'), Collocolo (84')

Muhl (22')
Nikolaou (90+4')
May 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Cremonese
2-0
Spezia
Ciofani (41'), Vasquez (77')
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