Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.