Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.