Spezia Calcio logo
Serie B | 2nd Leg
Jun 1, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Cremonese

Spezia
2 - 3
Cremonese

Pio Esposito (83'), Vignali (85')
Pio Esposito (21'), Reca (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
De Luca (25', 79'), Collocolo (62')
Vazquez (36'), Barbieri (41'), Vandeputte (66'), Valoti (81'), Johnsen (90+6')
Nasti (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie B playoff final between Spezia and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 Spezia
Thursday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Cremonese

All competitions
Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 Spezia
Thursday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawCremonese
36.34% (-0.659 -0.66)27.27% (0.211 0.21)36.39% (0.449 0.45)
Both teams to score 50.07% (-0.658 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.57% (-0.827 -0.83)55.43% (0.831 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38% (-0.683 -0.68)76.62% (0.685 0.69)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.79600000000001 -0.8)29.25% (0.798 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (-0.992 -0.99)65.21% (0.99299999999999 0.99)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (-0.131 -0.13)29.22% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (-0.16 -0.16)65.17% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 36.33%
    Cremonese 36.39%
    Draw 27.26%
SpeziaDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 10.5% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.33%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.51% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.39%

How you voted: Spezia vs Cremonese

Spezia
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Cremonese
12.5%
24
Head to Head
May 29, 2025 7.30pm
Cremonese
0-0
Spezia
Antov (7'), Azzi (26'), Collocolo (73'), Pickel (90+3')
Nagy (45'), Bandinelli (49'), Cassata (59')
> Preview
May 9, 2025 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Spezia
2-3
Cremonese
Pio Esposito (69'), Lapadula (75' pen.)
Mateju (31'), Vignali (56')
Barbieri (13'), Azzi (17'), Vandeputte (43')
Bianchetti (26'), Barbieri (31'), Johnsen (33'), Pickel (50'), Nasti (88'), Valoti (90+6')
Bianchetti (59')
Sep 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 5
Cremonese
1-1
Spezia
Collocolo (33')
Majer (64')
Hristov (65')
Bandinelli (71'), Bertola (76'), Degl'Innocenti (76'), Nagy (90'), Nagy (90+2')
Jan 20, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 21
Spezia
0-1
Cremonese

Kouda (33'), Cassata (34'), Nikolaou (90+8'), Hristov (90')
Coda (54')
Falletti (49'), Collocolo (70')
Nov 5, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Cremonese
3-0
Spezia
Sernicola (12'), Zanimacchia (29'), Coda (52')
Pickel (39'), Antov (81'), Collocolo (84')

Muhl (22')
Nikolaou (90+4')