Club Friendlies 3
Aug 2, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
  • Mohammed Amine Chakir 61' goal
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni  66'
  • goal Petar Ratkov 88'

Ascoli vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 5.30pm
Frosinone 1 - 0 Ascoli

Lazio

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 8.30am
Lazio 6 - 3 Avellino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 48.04%. A draw had a probability of 28.05% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%) , while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Ascoli 48.04% (-0.01)
Draw 28.05% (-0.15)
Lazio 23.85% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.38% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.95% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 31.05% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 43.99% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 56.01% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 22.81% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 77.19% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 12.49% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 87.51% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Ascoli 32.86% (-0.01)
Draw 48.44% (-0.06)
Lazio 18.69% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Ascoli 53.34% (+0.02)
No Goal 9.95% (-0.08)
Lazio 36.71% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 58.86% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.79% (+0.03)
Under 8 29.35% (+0.04)
Over 9 46.75% (-0.08)
Equal 9 12.12% (+0.02)
Under 9 41.14% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 35.38% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 64.62% (+0.08)

Ascoli Goals

Over 1.5 41.99% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 58.01% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 17.52%
Under 2.5 82.48%
Over 3.5 6.18% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.82% (-0.03)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 57.9% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 42.1% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 23.42% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 76.58% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 7.61% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 92.39% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.94% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.06% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ascoli 48.04%
Draw 28.05%
Lazio 23.86%
Ascoli
1-0 @ 12.9% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 8.99% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.03% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.02% (+0.04)
Total : 48.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.95% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 28.05%
Lazio
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 3.31% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.86% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.78% (+0.05)
Total : 23.86%