Coppa Italia
Aug 8, 2026 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
  • 16' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Milanese 23' goal
  • 53' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Gori 69' goal
  • Giovanni Corradini 90'+14' goal
  • goal G. Selleri 2'
  • yellowcard 44'
  • yellowcard 52'

Ascoli vs Potenza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions

Potenza

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.73% and a win for Potenza had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%) , while for a Potenza win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Ascoli 57.75% (-0.10)
Draw 23.73% (+0.06)
Potenza 18.57% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.93% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.9% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 28.1% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 47.29% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 52.66% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 25.72% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 74.28% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 15.29% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.71% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Ascoli 42.23% (-0.06)
Draw 41.33% (+0.01)
Potenza 16.44% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Ascoli 61.87% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.03% (+0.03)
Potenza 30.1% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.46% (-0.21)
Equal 8 10.35% (-0.01)
Under 8 24.19% (+0.21)
Over 9 54.26% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.19% (-0.04)
Under 9 34.55% (+0.21)
Over 10.5 43.16% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 56.84% (+0.14)

Ascoli Goals

Over 1.5 49.76% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 50.24% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 24.29% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 75.71% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 9.94% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 90.06% (+0.05)

Potenza Goals

Over 0.5 51.65% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 48.35% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 18.67% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 81.33% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.45% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.55% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.33% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.67% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ascoli 57.75%
Draw 23.73%
Potenza 18.57%
Ascoli
1-0 @ 13.58% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 10.61% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 6.25% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.93% (-0.05)
Total : 57.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.03% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.73%
Potenza
0-1 @ 6.54% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.5% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.67% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Total : 18.57%