Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 0
Cagliari

McTominay (42'), Lukaku (51')
Politano (31'), Lukaku (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Makoumbou (31')

Reaction

Napoli's Scott McTominay pictured on May 23, 2025

Napoli 2-0 Cagliari: Scott McTominay scores magnificent bicycle kick as Antonio Conte's men clinch Serie A title

Scott McTominay scores a sensational bicycle kick as Napoli beat Cagliari 2-0 to win the Serie A title and dethrone Inter Milan, who beat Como on Friday.

May 23, 20:48

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 3-0 Venezia
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.3%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 7.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.58%) and 1-0 (11.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Cagliari
78.3% ( 0.34)	14.58% ( -0.12)	7.12% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 41.6% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.37% (

-0.31)

40.63% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.98% (

-0.31)

63.01% (

0.31)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.54% (

8.46% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.65% (

0.01)

29.35% (

-0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.45% (

-0.8)

54.55% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.39% (

-0.49)

87.61% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Napoli 78.28%

Cagliari 7.12%

Draw 14.58%

Napoli	Draw	Cagliari
2-0 @ 14.07% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.61% Total : 78.28%	1-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.47% Total : 14.58%	0-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.23% Total : 7.12%