Serie A Gameweek 38
Napoli
May 23, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Cagliari
  • Matteo Politano 31' yellowcard
  • Scott McTominay 42' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 51' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antoine Makoumbou 31'

Napoli vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 7.45pm
Parma 0 - 0 Napoli
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Romelu Lukaku

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 7.45pm
Cagliari 3 - 0 Venezia
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Roberto Piccoli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.3%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 7.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.58%) and 1-0 (11.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result

Napoli 78.3% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 14.58% ▼ (-0.12)
Cagliari 7.12% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.6% ▼ (-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.37% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 40.63% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 3.5 36.98% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 3.5 63.01% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 4.5 19.77% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 4.5 80.23% ▲ (+0.25)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 91.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 8.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 70.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 45.45% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 0.5 54.55% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 1.5 12.39% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 1.5 87.61% ▲ (+0.49)

Score analysis

Napoli 78.28%
Draw 14.58%
Cagliari 7.12%
Napoli
2-0 @ 14.07% ▲ (+0.21)
3-0 @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.17)
1-0 @ 11.39% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.08)
6-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 78.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 14.58%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 7.12%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 4
Cagliari
Sep 15, 2024 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
Napoli
  • Yerry Mina 75' yellowcard
  • goal Giovanni Di Lorenzo 18'
  • yellowcard Stanislav Lobotka 42'
  • yellowcard Romelu Lukaku 57'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 66'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 70'
  • goal Alessandro Buongiorno 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Cagliari
Feb 25, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena
Napoli
  • Amir Rrahmani 32' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 36' yellowcard
  • Zito Luvumbo 48' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 68' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 86' yellowcard
  • Zito Luvumbo 90'+6' goal
  • goal Victor Osimhen 65'
  • yellowcard Mathias Olivera 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Napoli
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Cagliari
  • Victor Osimhen 45' yellowcard
  • Amir Rrahmani 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Victor Osimhen 69' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 75' goal
  • Mario Rui 85' yellowcard
  • Matteo Politano 88' yellowcard
  • Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edoardo Goldaniga 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Augello 63'
  • goal Leonardo Pavoletti 72'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Cagliari
Feb 21, 2022 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Napoli
  • Joao Pedro 35' yellowcard
  • Gaston Pereiro 58' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Malcuit 42'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 64'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 87'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Napoli
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Cagliari
  • Victor Osimhen 11' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 57' goal
  • Victor Osimhen 66' yellowcard
  • Eljif Elmas 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Walukiewicz 59'
Serie A Gameweek 34
Napoli
May 2, 2021 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Cagliari
  • Victor Osimhen 13' goal
  • Diego Demme 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Godin 32'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 34'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 46'
  • goal Nahitan Nandez 90'+4'

Form Data

Parma 0 - 0 Napoli
Napoli 2 - 2 Genoa
Lecce 0 - 1 Napoli
Napoli 2 - 0 Torino
Monza 0 - 1 Napoli
Napoli 3 - 0 Empoli
Cagliari 3 - 0 Venezia
Como 3 - 1 Cagliari
Cagliari 1 - 2 Udinese
Hellas Verona 0 - 2 Cagliari
Cagliari 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Inter Milan 3 - 1 Cagliari