Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 10, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
3 - 1
Cagliari

Caqueret (40'), Espeto (45+2'), Cutrone (77')
Caqueret (18')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Adopo (22')
Adopo (68'), Pavoletti (75'), Piccoli (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Como and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 0-1 Como
Saturday, May 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Udinese
Saturday, May 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Cagliari
59.49% ( -0.53)	23.45% ( 0.2)	17.07% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 45.37% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.44% (

-0.28)

53.56% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.93% (

-0.24)

75.07% (

0.24)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28% (

-0.29)

17.72% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61% (

-0.51)

48.39% (

0.51)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.14% (

0.24)

44.86% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.18% (

0.2)

80.82% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Como 59.48%

Cagliari 17.07%

Draw 23.44%

Como	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 59.48%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 17.07%