Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
Result | ||
Como | Draw | Cagliari |
59.49% (![]() | 23.45% (![]() | 17.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.44% (![]() | 53.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.93% (![]() | 75.07% (![]() |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.28% (![]() | 17.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.61% (![]() | 48.39% (![]() |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.14% (![]() | 44.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.18% (![]() | 80.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Como | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 13.75% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.9% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.38% Total : 59.48% | 1-1 @ 11.02% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.82% ( ![]() Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.37% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 1.52% Total : 17.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 78 |
2 | Inter Milan | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 77 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 71 | 31 | 40 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 64 |
5 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 64 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 63 |
7 | Bologna | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 62 |
8 | AC Milan | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 60 |
9 | Fiorentina | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 59 |
10 | Como | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 48 |
11 | Torino | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 44 |
12 | Udinese | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 44 |
13 | Genoa | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 40 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 33 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 33 |
16 | Parma | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 29 | 56 | -27 | 28 |
18 | Lecce | 36 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 58 | -33 | 28 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 35 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 26 |
R | Monza | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 64 | -37 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |