/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcaglog.png)
-
Maxence Caqueret
18'
-
Maxence Caqueret
40'
-
Gabriel Espeto
45'+2'
-
Patrick Cutrone
77'
-
Ndary Adopo
22'
-
Ndary Adopo
68'
-
Leonardo Pavoletti
75'
-
Roberto Piccoli
90'+5'
Como vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
Result
Como
59.49%
▼
(-0.53)
Draw
23.45%
▲
(+0.21)
Cagliari
17.07%
▲
(+0.33)
Both Teams to Score:
45.37%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.44%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
53.56%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 3.5
24.93%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
75.07%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 4.5
11.31%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
88.69%
▲
(+0.16)
Como Goals
Over 0.5
82.28%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
17.72%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 1.5
51.61%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 1.5
48.39%
▲
(+0.51)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5
55.14%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 0.5
44.86%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 1.5
19.18%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
80.82%
▼
(-0.20)
Score analysis
Como
59.48%
Draw
23.44%
Cagliari
17.07%
Como
1-0
@
13.75%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 11.9% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 59.48%
2-0 @ 11.9% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 59.48%
Draw
1-1
@
11.02%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.44%
0-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.44%
Cagliari
0-1
@
6.37%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 17.07%
1-2 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 17.07%