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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 10, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Cagliari logo

Como
3 - 1
Cagliari

Caqueret (40'), Espeto (45+2'), Cutrone (77')
Caqueret (18')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Adopo (22')
Adopo (68'), Pavoletti (75'), Piccoli (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Como and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 0-1 Como
Saturday, May 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Udinese
Saturday, May 3 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Como 2-0 Cagliari

Given Como's current form, plus Cagliari's continuing struggles on the mainland, the hosts should rack up six league wins on the spin. Aided by wealthy owners, Cesc Fabregas has assembled a competitive squad at the Sinigaglia, where his team have been at their very best. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawCagliari
59.49% (-0.526 -0.53) 23.45% (0.203 0.2) 17.07% (0.325 0.32)
Both teams to score 45.37% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.44% (-0.282 -0.28)53.56% (0.286 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.93% (-0.24 -0.24)75.07% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (-0.289 -0.29)17.72% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-0.506 -0.51)48.39% (0.509 0.51)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14% (0.245 0.24)44.86% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (0.195 0.2)80.82% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Como 59.48%
    Cagliari 17.07%
    Draw 23.44%
ComoDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 13.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.9% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.87% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 59.48%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 17.07%

How you voted: Como vs Cagliari

Como
73.5%
Draw
20.6%
Cagliari
5.9%
34
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Cagliari
1-1
Como
Piccoli (44')
Prati (17'), Marin (63')
Cutrone (53')
Braunoder (12'), Moreno (42')
Jul 25, 2024 4pm
Club Friendlies 3
Cagliari
1-3
Como
Deiola (45+1')
Cutrone (12'), Belotti (22'), Gabrielloni (72')
Jan 14, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 20
Cagliari
2-0
Como
Pavoletti (16'), Azzi (49')
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Como
1-1
Cagliari
Mancuso (19')
Baselli (34')
Pereiro (90+3')
Desogus (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli36239457273078
2Inter Milan36238575334277
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma35189850321863
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina351781053351859
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino361014123942-344
12Udinese36128163951-1244
13Genoa36913143245-1340
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3696213164-3333
16Parma36614164156-1532
17Empoli36513182956-2728
18Lecce36610202558-3328
19VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
RMonza3639242764-3718


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