Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2026 2.00pm
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 5.00pm
Lecce 1 - 2 Genoa
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Milutin Osmajic

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 7.45pm
AC Milan 3 - 1 Inter Milan
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Adrien Rabiot

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Genoa has a probability of 28.12% and a draw has a probability of 25.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Genoa win is 1-0 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.77%).

Result

Genoa 28.12% ▲ (+0.58)
Draw 25.67% ▼ (-0.20)
AC Milan 46.21% ▼ (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.96% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.99% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 23.01% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 53.36% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 2.5 46.64% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 3.5 31.53% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 68.47% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 4.5 17.92% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 82.08% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Genoa 21.87% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 44.48% ▲ (+0.69)
AC Milan 33.66% ▼ (-0.59)

Team To Score First

Genoa 36.4% ▲ (+0.86)
No Goal 6.27% ▲ (+0.11)
AC Milan 57.33% ▼ (-0.97)

Corners

Over 8 51.46% ▼ (-1.32)
Equal 8 12.46% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 8 36.08% ▲ (+1.09)
Over 9 39.37% ▼ (-1.40)
Equal 9 12.09% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 48.54% ▲ (+1.32)
Over 10.5 28.65% ▼ (-1.36)
Under 10.5 71.35% ▲ (+1.35)

Genoa Goals

Over 1.5 31.82% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 68.18% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 11.38% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 88.62% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 3.39% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.61% ▼ (-0.07)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 77.62% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 0.5 22.38% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 1.5 46.46% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 53.54% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 21.11% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 78.89% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 7.92% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 92.08% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Genoa 28.12%
Draw 25.68%
AC Milan 46.21%
Genoa
1-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 28.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 25.68%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.35% ▼ (-0.19)
0-2 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 46.21%

Head to Head

Serie A
May 17, 2026 11.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Jeff Ekhator 64' yellowcard
  • Jeff Ekhator 65' yellowcard
  • Caleb Ekuban 85' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • Johan Vásquez 86' goal
  • Aarón Martín 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 50'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 51'
  • yellowcard Samuele Ricci 68'
  • yellowcard Niclas Füllkrug 68'
  • yellowcard Koni De Winter 76'
  • yellowcard Christian Pulisic 76'
  • goal Zachary Athekame 81'
  • yellowcard 85'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek  85'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek  86'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 8, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 46' yellowcard
  • Niclas Fullkrug 65' yellowcard
  • Zachary Athekame 75' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 90'+2' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Colombo 28'
  • yellowcard Patrizio Masini 63'
  • yellowcard Mikael Egill Ellertsson 64'
  • yellowcard Patrizio Masini 64'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Jeff Ekhator 75'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Otoa 83'
  • yellowcard Nicolae Stanciu 83'
  • yellowcard Nicolae Stanciu 90'+9'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Morten Thorsby 27' yellowcard
  • Vitinha 61' goal
  • yellowcard Strahinja Pavlovic 21'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 69'
  • goal Rafael Leao 76'
  • goal Morten Frendrup 77' (OG)
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 82'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 84'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • yellowcard Alessandro Vogliacco 22'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Zanoli 42'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Tijjani Reijnders 43' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Florenzi 45' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 72' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 75' goal
  • goal Mateo Retegui 5'
  • goal Caleb Ekuban 48'
  • goal Malick Thiaw 87' (OG)
  • yellowcard Johan Vasquez 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
  • Alberto Gilardino 10'+10' yellowcard
  • Koni De Winter 69' yellowcard
  • Josep Martinez 86' yellowcard
  • Josep Martinez 90'+13' redcard
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 21'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 22'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 47'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 62'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 87'
  • redcard Mike Maignan 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 90'+9'