Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2026 5.30pm
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 5.00pm
AC Milan 3 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Adrien Rabiot

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 2.00pm
Cagliari 0 - 2 Bologna
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw has a probability of 24.91% and a win for Bologna has a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.18%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.71%) , while for a Bologna win it is 0-1 (6.76%).

Result

AC Milan 50.88% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 24.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Bologna 24.21% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.92% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 48.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 28.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 71.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.82% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

AC Milan 41.71% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 41.11% ▲ (+0.11)
Bologna 17.18% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

AC Milan 64.27% ▼ (-0.18)
No Goal 6.59%
Bologna 29.14% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 49.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.8%
Under 8 37.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 37.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.23%
Under 9 50.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 26.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 73.36% ▼ (-0.02)

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 48.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 51.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 22.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92% ▼ (-0.02)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 60.88% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 39.12% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 27.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 72.87% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 8.77% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 91.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.6% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

AC Milan 50.87%
Draw 24.91%
Bologna 24.21%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 11.13% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.18% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 7.87%
Total : 50.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.59%
2-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.91%
Bologna
0-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.21%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Federico Bernardeschi 53' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 54' yellowcard
  • Nikola Moro 65' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Cambiaghi 78' yellowcard
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 78' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Cambiaghi 78' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Loftus-Cheek 20'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 39'
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 48'
  • yellowcard Samuele Ricci 67'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 67'
  • yellowcard Ardon Jasari 72'
  • yellowcard Niclas Fullkrug 72'
  • yellowcard Ardon Jashari 72'
  • yellowcard Niclas Füllkrug 72'
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupinan 83'
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupiñán 83'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Coppa Italia
May 14, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Fikayo Tomori 38' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 43'
  • goal Dan Ndoye 53'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Fabbian 57'
  • yellowcard Jhon Lucumi 74'
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 60' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 67' yellowcard
  • Santiago Gimenez 73' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 79' goal
  • Santiago Gimenez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jhon Lucumi 37'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 49'
  • yellowcard Santiago Castro 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Feb 27, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Santiago Castro 48' goal
  • Nicolo Casale 53' yellowcard
  • Dan Ndoye 82' goal
  • goal Rafael Leao 43'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 47'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 54'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Rafael Leao 22' yellowcard
  • Davide Calabria 36' yellowcard
  • Yacine Adli 44' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 45' goal
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 83' goal
  • Filippo Terracciano 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 2'
  • goal Joshua Zirkzee 29'
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 39'
  • redcard Thiago Motta 41'
  • yellowcard Kacper Urbanski 57'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 90'+2'